About Prateek Joshi

Artificial Intelligence researcher. Published author of 5 tech books. TEDx Speaker. Hackathon winner at Facebook. Blog with 1.2M+ page views from 200+ countries.

Ergodicity In The World Of IoT

1 mainErgodicity is one of the most important concepts in statistics. More importantly, it has a lot of real world applications. In this case, it’s applicable to the staggering number of internet connected devices in the world of Internet of Things (IoT). Most of the experiments conducted by research labs, businesses, and marketing agencies often rely on statistics to compile the results. This can be about a set of customers, voters, viewers, or any other segment. Ever wondered why the results are often inaccurate? One of the main reasons is the underlying assumption about ergodicity. What exactly is it?   Continue reading

Cauchy Sequences In The Real World

0-mainSequences occur everywhere in our daily life. Some of the examples include sensor data, stock market quotes, speech signals, and many more. A sequence is a collection of elements where each element is indexed. Repetitions are allowed in this case, which means any element can reappear in a given sequence. If we look closely, we can see that sequences are rich in information. In theory, we can design sequences with amazing characteristics and study them. This allows us to approximate real world processes using these sequences so that we can estimate what’s going to happen in the future. Cauchy sequence is one such sequence that’s very fundamental to a lot of fields. Let’s dig deeper and see why it’s relevant, shall we?   Continue reading

Measuring The Memory Of Time Series Data

1-mainTime series data has memory. It remembers what happened in the past and avenge any wrongdoings! Can you believe it? Okay the avenging part may not be true, but it definitely remembers the past. The “memory” refers to how strongly the past can influence the future in a given time series variable. If it has a strong memory, then we know that analyzing the past would be really useful to us because it can tell us what’s going to happen in the future. If you need a quick refresher, you can check out my blog post where I talked about memory in time series data. We have a high level understanding of how we can classify time series data into short memory and long memory, but how do we actually measure the memory?   Continue reading

What Is Pareto Optimality

1-mainLet’s consider a business deal where there are multiple parties negotiating the terms. In such a situation, it’s usually not possible for every single party to get everything it wants. They need to optimize their demands so that everyone comes out with something positive. Similar situations arise across many areas of engineering where we have to deal with many resources and we need to make a trade off based on cost, quality, speed, and so on. How do we model this problem and decide the optimal state of affairs? This is where the concept of Pareto Optimality comes into picture.   Continue reading

What Is Long Memory In Time Series Analysis

1 mainWe encounter time series data very frequently in the real world. Some common examples include real time sensors, surveillance video, stock market, astrophysics, speech recognition, and so on. In order to study time series data, we try to extract various characteristics that tend to define it. One of the most important things to think about is the dependence between various points in the time series data. Is there any dependence between the values in the time series data? If so, how far apart in time do they have to be in order to affect each other? Understanding these aspects will open up new doors in terms of how we analyze the data. This is where the concept of long memory comes into picture. Let’s dig a little deeper and understand it, shall we?   Continue reading

What Is Monte Carlo Simulation

1 mainThere are many phenomena in everyday life where it’s very difficult to model the problem. There are so many variables and so many dependencies that any approximation or assumption would lead to a huge errors in outputs. This is usually a combination of uncertainty and variability. Even though we have access to all the historical information, we can’t accurately predict a future outcome because of inaccurate modeling. This becomes especially relevant when we are dealing with systems where the degrees of freedom are dependent on each other. An example would be movement of fluids or kinetic modeling of gases. How do we compute the possible outcomes? How can we assess the impact of all the free variables to make sure we predict the outcome under uncertainty?   Continue reading

Undestanding IoT Gateways

1 mainThe Internet of Things (IoT) ecosystem is rapidly expanding. Some analysts predict that there will be around 50 billion connected devices by 2020. If you are new to IoT, it refers to the collective ecosystem of devices that are connected to the internet. These devices can be sensors, actuators, health monitors, meters, and so on. What did people do before IoT? Well, they had devices that weren’t connected to the internet. Hence it was difficult to monitor and analyze data in real time. This meant that people were leaving a lot of interesting data unused, which directly translates to lost revenue of billions of dollars. By connecting all the devices to the internet, we are enabling ourselves to take actions in real time. It’s obvious that device connectivity is a really important aspect in IoT. How do we ensure connectivity? How can we enable low cost hardware devices to communicate with the cloud without expensive processors?   Continue reading